Long-term cosmic ray monitoring

Fig. 1 In figure the long-term forecast of the beginning of the NEW 11-years cycle 24 is presented (a red arrow), begun in 2010. Proceeding from «an average picture» for 4 previous a cycle 20-23, is shown to a dotted curve of black color an expected course of GCR fluctuations parameter of fluctuations, for 1 year before a maximum of solar activity. Values of galactic cosmic rays intensity (GCR) are given in impulses - a dotted curve of dark blue color. The parameter of GCR fluctuations is resulted in relative units - a continuous curve of red color. On an axis abscissa - time, in years. Numbers of cycles are specified and, is conditional - the periods of change of a sign on a field. For GCR fluctuations parameter, blue color is shown of significance level (Ð=0,5) for predictor solar activity.

Fig. 2. Detection of low-frequency DRIFT of the period of 11-years cyclicity in 22 cycle and effect of SPLITTING of spectral "line" of 11-years cyclicity in 23 cycle. Above - time series of mid-annual values of fluctuations GCR Parameter in relative units. The periods of change of a sign on a field are conditionally shown. In an average part of figure, on the diagram - evolution of the period 11-years cycles in time. The location of 11-years variation is noted by a horizontal arrow at the left. The beginning of low-frequency DRIFT in 22 cycle, and the moment of SPLITTING of spectral "line" of 11-years cyclicity in 23 cycle, are shown by vertical arrows. On an axis abscissa - time (number of years). In right part of figure, the average or global spectrum as a whole for the analyzed period are shown. In the bottom part of figure, the envelope amplitude around 11-years variations is shown.